Today’s worst pipes are not always tomorrow’s.

Which materials are deteriorating fastest?

Ranking pipe materials by current break rate is the usual starting point for renewal planning – and it can steer the CIP in the wrong direction. The material with the most breaks today is not necessarily the one deteriorating fastest. Another, with a lower break rate now, may be getting worse year after year – and overtake it well within the planning horizon. A plan built on a snapshot may be renewing the right pipes for the wrong year.

Baseform’s Predict model delivers time-dependent failure rates for every pipe, using deterioration curves derived from the utility’s own history of past breaks and their specific dynamics – not industry averages, or subjective scores. Its renewal planning environment then optimizes projects over the coming years with those deterioration rates fully accounted for, quantifying failures avoided and CAPEX efficiency for each option. Investment goes where breaks are heading, not only where they are today or have been in the past.

Get in touch to find out how your utility can also benefit from Baseform.